Tickbird
Back to the test bench

Sectors first

Sector rotation

Sessions

12

10 passed

Mean return

-1.18%

Open to close, per session

vs S&P 500

-1.16%

t = -1.08

Verdict

no verdict yet

12 of the 60 sessions before the first reading. No verdict until then.

The hypothesis, as registered

Money moves between sectors over days, not hours. The sector that led this week leads tomorrow, and its most traded name carries the move with the least idiosyncratic risk.

The rule

Rank sectors by the average 5-day return of their tradable members (ten or more). In the leading sector, take the most traded stock with an RSI under 70. No stock-level screen otherwise.

Registered on 2026-09-07. Neither text has changed since, and neither will: a strategy that needs amending is retired and a new one registered in its place.

Session by session

Newest first. The numbers in the middle column are the ones the rule actually read that morning. Losing days stay.

SessionPickWhat the rule readReturnvs S&P 500
2026-10-14TALOTalos Energy, Inc.sector Energy · sector 5-day return +3.50% · members 12 · top member SU · its 5-day return +10.23% · average volume 2,824kpendingpending
2026-10-13CTVACortevasector Consumer Staples · sector 5-day return +2.18% · members 35 · top member LW · its 5-day return +12.59% · average volume 44,698kno price found—
2026-10-12EXCExelonsector Utilities · sector 5-day return +2.99% · members 39 · top member CEG · its 5-day return +15.76% · average volume 8,154kno price found—
2026-10-09RIGTransocean Ltd (Switzerland)sector Energy · sector 5-day return +3.79% · members 67 · top member PBR · its 5-day return +17.68% · average volume 41,775k-0.54%-0.84%
2026-10-08PCGPG&E Corporationsector Utilities · sector 5-day return +4.46% · members 69 · top member CIEN · its 5-day return +26.90% · average volume 37,720kno price found—
2026-10-07RIGTransocean Ltd (Switzerland)sector Energy · sector 5-day return +4.39% · members 78 · top member FCEL · its 5-day return +22.19% · average volume 43,855kno price found—
2026-10-06INTCIntel Corp.sector Technology · sector 5-day return +4.61% · members 273 · top member VEEA · its 5-day return +100.00% · average volume 111,299k-3.90%-4.02%
2026-10-05SPCXSpace Exploration Technologies Corp.sector Technology · sector 5-day return +1.30% · members 268 · top member WOLF · its 5-day return +27.97% · average volume 94,182k+7.61%+6.95%
2026-10-02INTCIntel Corp.sector Technology · sector 5-day return +0.48% · members 268 · top member VIAV · its 5-day return +20.28% · average volume 111,341k-3.90%-3.78%
2026-10-01GRMLGreenland Mines Ltdsector Health Care · sector 5-day return -0.45% · members 236 · top member DNA · its 5-day return +49.53% · average volume 23,517k-9.26%-9.21%
2026-09-30AALAmerican Airlines Groupsector Consumer Discretionary · sector 5-day return -1.79% · members 303 · top member TJGC · its 5-day return +105.89% · average volume 70,460k-1.47%-0.98%
2026-09-29GRMLGreenland Mines Ltdsector Health Care · sector 5-day return +0.07% · members 237 · top member KOD · its 5-day return +177.36% · average volume 22,957k-1.19%-0.85%
2026-09-28NVDANVIDIA Corp.sector Technology · sector 5-day return +1.56% · members 272 · top member QMCO · its 5-day return +26.27% · average volume 116,061k-0.37%-0.01%
2026-09-25NVDANVIDIA Corp.sector Technology · sector 5-day return +2.22% · members 273 · top member RMBS · its 5-day return +28.42% · average volume 126,507k-0.04%-0.37%
2026-09-24NVDANVIDIA Corp.sector Technology · sector 5-day return +3.28% · members 272 · top member ARM · its 5-day return +36.31% · average volume 131,625k+1.11%+0.70%
2026-09-23NVDANVIDIA Corp.sector Technology · sector 5-day return +3.40% · members 270 · top member AXTI · its 5-day return +40.08% · average volume 135,247k-1.13%-0.48%
2026-09-22PCGPG&E Corporationsector Utilities · sector 5-day return +46.62% · average volume 56,008k-1.15%-1.07%
2026-09-21passedNo sector had ten tradable members this morning.——
2026-09-18passedNo sector had ten tradable members this morning.——
2026-09-17passedNo sector had ten tradable members this morning.——
2026-09-16passedNo sector had ten tradable members this morning.——
2026-09-15passedNo sector had ten tradable members this morning.——
2026-09-14passedNo sector had ten tradable members this morning.——
2026-09-11passedNo sector had ten tradable members this morning.——
2026-09-10passedNo sector had ten tradable members this morning.——
2026-09-09passedNo sector had ten tradable members this morning.——
2026-09-08passedNo sector had ten tradable members this morning.——

Best session +7.61%, worst -9.26%. Over this few sessions the mean is mostly the sum of its two or three largest days, which is the whole reason the verdict is read only after 60, 120, 250, 500 sessions and frozen in between.

This is not investment advice. Tickbird is an automated experiment. It publishes a general analysis, not a personal recommendation, and it makes no promise about any outcome. Past results do not predict future ones. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.