Receipts

The track record

Every published pick is bought at the open and sold at the close of the session it was made for, with simulated trading costs, then compared to the S&P 500 on that same day. Each one still carries the conviction level we gave it that morning, before anyone knew how the session would end. The losing calls stay up. That is the entire point of this page.

You will often see a bigger number on Google or Yahoo. They measure from the previous close, which includes the overnight move that had already happened before you read the pick. We only count what you could have captured: open to close, on the day.

Sessions measured

43

Closed up

47%

Beat the S&P 500

44%

Average day

-0.25%

Fri, Oct 16, 2026

Sat this one out

No pick

Not enough AI models answered; No AI model expected this one to rise

Thu, Oct 15, 2026

Sat this one out

No pick

Confidence was too low to publish

Wed, Oct 14, 2026

High conviction

UNH UnitedHealth Group

+3.39%S&P 500 -0.69%beat the market

See the analysis

Tue, Oct 13, 2026

High conviction

BIIB Biogen Inc.

-0.73%S&P 500 +0.09%lagged the market

See the analysis

Mon, Oct 12, 2026

High conviction

GMAB Genmab A/S

+0.33%S&P 500 -0.09%beat the market

See the analysis

Fri, Oct 9, 2026

High conviction

NAT Nordic American Tankers Limited

-0.80%S&P 500 +0.30%lagged the market

See the analysis

Thu, Oct 8, 2026

High conviction

ABBV AbbVie Inc.

+0.43%S&P 500 -0.12%beat the market

See the analysis

Wed, Oct 7, 2026

High conviction

FRSH Freshworks Inc.

-0.76%S&P 500 +0.19%lagged the market

See the analysis

Tue, Oct 6, 2026

High conviction

INSW International Seaways, Inc.

+1.17%S&P 500 +0.12%beat the market

See the analysis

Mon, Oct 5, 2026

High conviction

RKLB Rocket Lab Corporation

-0.87%S&P 500 +0.67%lagged the market

See the analysis

Fri, Oct 2, 2026

High conviction

MU Micron Technology, Inc.

-3.04%S&P 500 -0.12%lagged the market

See the analysis

Thu, Oct 1, 2026

High conviction

UTHR United Therapeutics

+2.38%S&P 500 -0.05%beat the market

See the analysis

Wed, Sep 30, 2026

High conviction

KMX CarMax Inc

-6.91%S&P 500 -0.50%lagged the market

See the analysis

Tue, Sep 29, 2026

High conviction

NVDA NVIDIA Corp.

-1.74%S&P 500 -0.34%lagged the market

See the analysis

Mon, Sep 28, 2026

High conviction

AKAM Akamai Technologies, Inc.

-3.43%S&P 500 -0.36%lagged the market

See the analysis

Fri, Sep 25, 2026

High conviction

NBIS Nebius Group N.V.

-3.98%S&P 500 +0.33%lagged the market

See the analysis

Thu, Sep 24, 2026

Moderate conviction

IONQ IonQ, Inc.

+8.10%S&P 500 +0.41%beat the market

See the analysis

Wed, Sep 23, 2026

High conviction

BMNR BitMine Immersion Technologies, Inc.

-2.66%S&P 500 -0.64%lagged the market

See the analysis

Tue, Sep 22, 2026

Low conviction

AMRX Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

-2.60%S&P 500 -0.08%lagged the market

See the analysis

Mon, Sep 21, 2026

High conviction

MSTR Strategy Inc

+2.28%S&P 500 +0.95%beat the market

See the analysis

Fri, Sep 18, 2026

High conviction

GFL GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par value

-1.65%S&P 500 +0.05%lagged the market

See the analysis

Thu, Sep 17, 2026

High conviction

FPS Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. Class A

+3.44%S&P 500 -0.07%beat the market

See the analysis

Wed, Sep 16, 2026

High conviction

TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc

+0.90%S&P 500 -0.72%beat the market

See the analysis

Tue, Sep 15, 2026

High conviction

CVE Cenovus Energy Inc

+1.85%S&P 500 -0.36%beat the market

See the analysis

Mon, Sep 14, 2026

High conviction

BE Bloom Energy Corporation Class A

+0.16%S&P 500 +0.25%lagged the market

See the analysis

Fri, Sep 11, 2026

High conviction

DVN Devon Energy Corporation

+1.07%S&P 500 -0.06%beat the market

See the analysis

Thu, Sep 10, 2026

High conviction

YPF YPF Sociedad Anonima

+1.44%S&P 500 -0.03%beat the market

See the analysis

Wed, Sep 9, 2026

High conviction

BG Bunge Limited Common Shares

-0.70%S&P 500 -0.22%lagged the market

See the analysis

Tue, Sep 8, 2026

High conviction

SU Suncor Energy Inc.

-0.98%S&P 500 -0.40%lagged the market

See the analysis

Fri, Sep 4, 2026

High conviction

PFG Principal Financial Group Inc

-0.40%S&P 500 -0.24%lagged the market

See the analysis

Thu, Sep 3, 2026

Moderate conviction

SIRI SiriusXM Holdings Inc.

-0.60%S&P 500 +0.69%lagged the market

See the analysis

Wed, Sep 2, 2026

High conviction

MDT Medtronic plc.

-0.18%S&P 500 +0.36%lagged the market

See the analysis

Tue, Sep 1, 2026

High conviction

HAL Halliburton Company

-0.75%S&P 500 -0.03%lagged the market

See the analysis

Mon, Aug 31, 2026

High conviction

BEKE KE Holdings Inc American Depositary Shares (each representing three Class A Ordinary Shares)

-3.09%S&P 500 -0.04%lagged the market

See the analysis

Fri, Aug 28, 2026

High conviction

NVDA NVIDIA Corp.

-4.40%S&P 500 -0.31%lagged the market

See the analysis

Thu, Aug 27, 2026

High conviction

SMTC Semtech Corporation

-4.77%S&P 500 +0.34%lagged the market

See the analysis

Wed, Aug 26, 2026

High conviction

BNS Bank Nova Scotia Halifax Pfd 3

+0.92%S&P 500 +0.18%beat the market

See the analysis

Tue, Aug 25, 2026

High conviction

SUZ Suzano S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing One Ordinary Share)

+0.46%S&P 500 -0.03%beat the market

See the analysis

Mon, Aug 24, 2026

High conviction

BEKE KE Holdings Inc American Depositary Shares (each representing three Class A Ordinary Shares)

-2.01%S&P 500 -0.17%lagged the market

See the analysis

Fri, Aug 21, 2026

High conviction

DE Deere & Company

+3.83%S&P 500 -0.06%beat the market

See the analysis

Thu, Aug 20, 2026

High conviction

JKHY Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.

+0.98%S&P 500 -0.44%beat the market

See the analysis

Wed, Aug 19, 2026

High conviction

AS Amer Sports, Inc.

+0.17%S&P 500 -0.17%beat the market

See the analysis

Tue, Aug 18, 2026

High conviction

NU Nu Holdings

-1.34%S&P 500 -0.16%lagged the market

See the analysis

Mon, Aug 17, 2026

Moderate conviction

MU Micron Technology, Inc.

+1.21%S&P 500 -0.45%beat the market

See the analysis

Fri, Aug 14, 2026

High conviction

AVAH Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc.

+3.34%S&P 500 -0.28%beat the market

See the analysis

This is not investment advice. Tickbird is an automated experiment. It publishes a general analysis, not a personal recommendation, and it makes no promise about any outcome. Past results do not predict future ones. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.