Tickbird
Back to the test bench

The product's shortlist

Shortlist, news only

Sessions

17

10 passed

Mean return

-1.03%

Open to close, per session

vs S&P 500

-0.94%

t = -1.28

Verdict

no verdict yet

17 of the 60 sessions before the first reading. No verdict until then.

The hypothesis, as registered

The day's mover is the name the news is about. The density of fresh coverage marks it before the price does, whatever the numbers say.

The rule

The finalist with the most headlines under 48 hours old; ties go to the higher model consensus. Abstains when no finalist has fresh news.

Registered on 2026-09-07. Neither text has changed since, and neither will: a strategy that needs amending is retired and a new one registered in its place.

Session by session

Newest first. The numbers in the middle column are the ones the rule actually read that morning. Losing days stay.

SessionPickWhat the rule readReturnvs S&P 500
2026-10-14passedNo finalist carried a headline less than 48 hours old.——
2026-10-13passedNo finalist carried a headline less than 48 hours old.——
2026-10-12passedNo finalist carried a headline less than 48 hours old.——
2026-10-09passedNo finalist carried a headline less than 48 hours old.——
2026-10-08passedNo finalist carried a headline less than 48 hours old.——
2026-10-07passedNo finalist carried a headline less than 48 hours old.——
2026-10-06passedNo finalist carried a headline less than 48 hours old.——
2026-10-05passedNo finalist carried a headline less than 48 hours old.——
2026-10-02passedNo finalist carried a headline less than 48 hours old.——
2026-10-01HPEHewlett Packard Enterprisefresh headlines 5 · model consensus 88.5-1.45%-1.40%
2026-09-30KMXCarMax Incfresh headlines 5 · model consensus 88.5-6.81%-6.32%
2026-09-29passedNo finalist carried a headline less than 48 hours old.——
2026-09-28AKAMAkamai Technologiesfresh headlines 5 · model consensus 86.8-3.33%-2.98%
2026-09-25DVNDevon Energyfresh headlines 5 · model consensus 88.5-1.65%-1.99%
2026-09-24ACMRACM Research, Inc.fresh headlines 5 · model consensus 86.3-2.46%-2.87%
2026-09-23BMNRBitMine Immersion Technologies, Inc.fresh headlines 5 · model consensus 86.5-2.56%-1.91%
2026-09-22AURAurora Innovation, Inc.fresh headlines 5 · model consensus 87.8-2.12%-2.04%
2026-09-21SNDKSandiskfresh headlines 5 · model consensus 90.5-3.29%-4.23%
2026-09-18GFLGFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares, no par valuefresh headlines 5 · model consensus 90.5-1.55%-1.60%
2026-09-17AMDAdvanced Micro Devicesfresh headlines 5 · model consensus 89.2+2.10%+2.17%
2026-09-16GHGuardant Health, Inc.fresh headlines 5 · model consensus 90.5-0.06%+0.66%
2026-09-15RUMRUM Group Inc.fresh headlines 5 · model consensus 89+6.49%+6.85%
2026-09-14PHVSPharvaris N.V.fresh headlines 5 · model consensus 90+1.59%+1.35%
2026-09-11AVAVAeroVironmentfresh headlines 5 · model consensus 87.8+0.72%+0.78%
2026-09-10CHYMChime Financial, Inc.fresh headlines 5 · model consensus 90.3-3.84%-3.81%
2026-09-09PHVSPharvaris N.V.fresh headlines 5 · model consensus 91.3-0.42%-0.20%
2026-09-08FIVEFive Belowfresh headlines 5 · model consensus 90+1.13%+1.54%

Best session +6.49%, worst -6.81%. Over this few sessions the mean is mostly the sum of its two or three largest days, which is the whole reason the verdict is read only after 60, 120, 250, 500 sessions and frozen in between.

This is not investment advice. Tickbird is an automated experiment. It publishes a general analysis, not a personal recommendation, and it makes no promise about any outcome. Past results do not predict future ones. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.