The product's shortlist

Vetoed by the jury

Sessions

first reading at 60

Mean return

-3.75%

Open to close, per session

vs S&P 500

-3.73%

t = -1.01

Verdict

no verdict yet

24 of the 60 sessions before the first reading. No verdict until then.

The hypothesis, as registered

The models' refusals carry information. This is the product's counterfactual: the name the numbers liked best and the jury turned down. If it loses, the jury is earning its keep by saying no; if it wins, three hundred model calls a day are removing good names.

The rule

Among the finalists with at least two model answers, keep those with fewer than two bullish — the ones the product's two-of-three rule rejects. Take the highest re-scored quantitative score. Abstains when nothing was vetoed.

Registered on 2026-09-07. Neither text has changed since, and neither will: a strategy that needs amending is retired and a new one registered in its place.

Session by session

Newest first. The numbers in the middle column are the ones the rule actually read that morning. Losing days stay.

Session	Pick	What the rule read	Return	vs S&P 500
2026-10-14	VRAVera Bradley, Inc.	quant score 59.3 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 49.2	pending	pending
2026-10-13	CCCCCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc.	quant score 72.9 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 64.7	+2.49%	+2.40%
2026-10-12	NVAXNovavax, Inc.	quant score 72.7 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 61.2	no price found	—
2026-10-09	PCRXPacira BioSciences, Inc.	quant score 71.5 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 66	-0.06%	-0.36%
2026-10-08	XRPNArmada Acquisition Corp. II	quant score 74.0 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 61.7	no price found	—
2026-10-07	APUSApimeds Pharmaceuticals US, Inc.	quant score 79.0 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 51	-11.88%	-12.06%
2026-10-06	DNAGinkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. Class A	quant score 78.4 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 61.7	-17.71%	-17.83%
2026-10-05	SDEVStablecoin Development Corporation	quant score 85.7 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 51.2	-59.42%	-60.09%
2026-10-02	XRPNArmada Acquisition Corp. II	quant score 82.1 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 65.2	+35.93%	+36.05%
2026-10-01	PGENPrecigen, Inc.	quant score 82.2 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 62.7	-3.41%	-3.36%
2026-09-30	IOVAIovance Biotherapeutics, Inc.	quant score 88.3 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 53.2	+0.89%	+1.38%
2026-09-29	AGENAgenus Inc.	quant score 76.0 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 62	+3.24%	+3.58%
2026-09-28	QMCOQuantum Corporation	quant score 78.3 · models bullish 0 · models answered 3 · model consensus 39.7	-0.79%	-0.43%
2026-09-25	GLNDGreenland Energy Company	quant score 94.0 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 64	-8.58%	-8.92%
2026-09-24	SECZSecuritize Corp.	quant score 80.3 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 62.3	+12.68%	+12.27%
2026-09-23	FIVNFive9, Inc.	quant score 83.7 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 62.3	-3.36%	-2.72%
2026-09-22	VEEETwin Vee PowerCats Co.	quant score 86.0 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 62.7	-13.55%	-13.47%
2026-09-21	SECZSecuritize Corp.	quant score 89.2 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 63.5	+15.68%	+14.74%
2026-09-18	SECZSecuritize Corp.	quant score 89.0 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 63.8	+16.52%	+16.47%
2026-09-17	MEDSDataMeds AI, Inc.	quant score 86.7 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 62.3	-30.85%	-30.78%
2026-09-16	SDGRSchrodinger, Inc.	quant score 84.5 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 62.7	+2.75%	+3.47%
2026-09-15	NTSKNetskope, Inc.	quant score 75.7 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 64.5	+5.05%	+5.41%
2026-09-14	ACVAACV Auctions Inc. Class A	quant score 82.5 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 64.3	-0.10%	-0.34%
2026-09-11	PCLAPicoCELA Inc.	quant score 86.0 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 61.5	-19.63%	-19.58%
2026-09-10	IRDOpus Genetics, Inc.	quant score 88.2 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 63.8	+3.23%	+3.26%
2026-09-09	BNCCEA Industries Inc.	quant score 87.9 · models bullish 0 · models answered 3 · model consensus 38	-13.73%	-13.51%
2026-09-08	CHPTChargePoint Holdings, Inc.	quant score 85.3 · models bullish 1 · models answered 3 · model consensus 62.7	-5.45%	-5.04%

Best session +35.93%, worst -59.42%. Over this few sessions the mean is mostly the sum of its two or three largest days, which is the whole reason the verdict is read only after 60, 120, 250, 500 sessions and frozen in between.

This is not investment advice. Tickbird is an automated experiment. It publishes a general analysis, not a personal recommendation, and it makes no promise about any outcome. Past results do not predict future ones. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.