Tickbird
Back to the test bench

The product's shortlist

Approved, least extended

Sessions

11

first reading at 60

Mean return

-0.89%

Open to close, per session

vs S&P 500

-0.83%

t = -0.56

Verdict

no verdict yet

11 of the 60 sessions before the first reading. No verdict until then.

The hypothesis, as registered

On the product's first twenty-five sessions, every measure of how good a pick looked in the morning — quantitative score, model consensus, stated confidence — ran the wrong way: the more convinced the system was, the worse the session (rank correlation about −0.3, on twenty-five sessions, which is the size of pattern that usually evaporates). One reading is that a high quantitative score marks a move already made. This keeps the jury's direction and drops the ranking: among the names the models approve, take the least extended, not the best-looking.

The rule

Among the finalists the product's own rule approves (two models bullish), take the lowest re-scored quantitative score; ties go to the lower risk score. Registered after looking at the product's record, so it is judged on sessions that come after it, like every other row.

Registered on 2026-09-23. Neither text has changed since, and neither will: a strategy that needs amending is retired and a new one registered in its place.

Session by session

Newest first. The numbers in the middle column are the ones the rule actually read that morning. Losing days stay.

SessionPickWhat the rule readReturnvs S&P 500
2026-10-14TRAXFirst Tracks Biotherapeutics, Inc.quant score 27 · final score 49.8 · models bullish 2 · 1-day return -6.96%pendingpending
2026-10-13BRUNBoost Run Inc.quant score 23.7 · final score 47.3 · models bullish 2 · 1-day return -10.55%+0.97%+0.88%
2026-10-12GRRRGorilla Technology Group Inc.quant score 34.3 · final score 48.0 · models bullish 3 · 1-day return -6.78%no price found—
2026-10-09BRUNBoost Run Inc.quant score 41.2 · final score 60.5 · models bullish 3 · 1-day return -12.00%no price found—
2026-10-08LEVILevi Strauss & Co Class Aquant score 34.9 · final score 67.1 · models bullish 3 · 1-day return -4.97%+0.26%+0.38%
2026-10-07OKLOOklo Inc. Class A common stockquant score 46.7 · final score 62.7 · models bullish 3 · 1-day return +7.17%no price found—
2026-10-06SUPVGrupo Supervielle S.A. American Depositary Shares each Representing five Class B sharesquant score 47.9 · final score 46.4 · models bullish 2 · 1-day return +7.29%no price found—
2026-10-05THRMGentherm Incquant score 41.4 · final score 60.1 · models bullish 3 · 1-day return -0.82%+3.30%+2.63%
2026-10-02EVMNEvommune, Inc.quant score 26.1 · final score 48.0 · models bullish 2 · 1-day return -12.71%-4.55%-4.43%
2026-10-01FNVFranco-Nevada Corporationquant score 44.4 · final score 69.9 · models bullish 3 · 1-day return -3.96%-0.91%-0.86%
2026-09-30ITGITG, Inc.quant score 42.8 · final score 45.1 · models bullish 2 · 1-day return +15.42%-4.25%-3.75%
2026-09-29EGOEldorado Gold Corporationquant score 33.8 · final score 58.8 · models bullish 3 · 1-day return -5.92%-2.30%-1.96%
2026-09-28STAASTAAR Surgical Companyquant score 50.9 · final score 59.0 · models bullish 2 · 1-day return +7.49%+2.15%+2.51%
2026-09-25DVNDevon Energyquant score 53.9 · final score 75.8 · models bullish 3 · 1-day return +1.79%-1.65%-1.99%
2026-09-24ABSIAbsci Corporationquant score 57.1 · final score 60.8 · models bullish 2 · 1-day return -0.76%+8.78%+8.37%
2026-09-23APMDApnimed, Inc.quant score 44.5 · final score 45.3 · models bullish 2 · 1-day return -9.59%-11.60%-10.95%

Best session +8.78%, worst -11.60%. Over this few sessions the mean is mostly the sum of its two or three largest days, which is the whole reason the verdict is read only after 60, 120, 250, 500 sessions and frozen in between.

This is not investment advice. Tickbird is an automated experiment. It publishes a general analysis, not a personal recommendation, and it makes no promise about any outcome. Past results do not predict future ones. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.