Tickbird
Back to the test bench

Its own screen, whole market

Calm trend

Sessions

19

first reading at 60

Mean return

+0.03%

Open to close, per session

vs S&P 500

+0.06%

t = 0.58

Verdict

no verdict yet

19 of the 60 sessions before the first reading. No verdict until then.

The hypothesis, as registered

Quiet stocks in an established uptrend drift up. On a hundred replayed sessions a basket of a hundred such names beat the universe; this asks whether one name does.

The rule

Tradable stocks above their 20-, 50- and 200-day averages with an RSI between 45 and 65. Take the lowest historical volatility.

Registered on 2026-09-07. Neither text has changed since, and neither will: a strategy that needs amending is retired and a new one registered in its place.

Session by session

Newest first. The numbers in the middle column are the ones the rule actually read that morning. Losing days stay.

SessionPickWhat the rule readReturnvs S&P 500
2026-10-14TECHBio-Technevolatility +2.85% · RSI 48.3 · 20-day return +0.19%pendingpending
2026-10-13PGProcter & Gamblevolatility +15.98% · RSI 61.6 · 20-day return +4.84%no price found—
2026-10-12AEPAmerican Electric Powervolatility +15.82% · RSI 63.7 · 20-day return -0.42%+0.84%+0.92%
2026-10-09OGNOrganon & Co.volatility +2.93% · RSI 62.1 · 20-day return +0.88%+0.36%+0.06%
2026-10-08TECHBio-Technevolatility +3.46% · RSI 55.2 · 20-day return +0.39%no price found—
2026-10-07TECHBio-Technevolatility +3.48% · RSI 54.4 · 20-day return +0.17%+0.14%-0.05%
2026-10-06OGNOrganon & Co.volatility +2.75% · RSI 60 · 20-day return -0.58%+0.00%-0.12%
2026-10-05TECHBio-Technevolatility +3.44% · RSI 57.3 · 20-day return -0.07%+0.23%-0.43%
2026-10-02DBRGDigitalBridge Group, Inc.volatility +2.82% · RSI 63.3 · 20-day return +0.57%no price found—
2026-10-01DBRGDigitalBridge Group, Inc.volatility +2.82% · RSI 63.3 · 20-day return +0.57%no price found—
2026-09-30DBRGDigitalBridge Group, Inc.volatility +2.82% · RSI 63.3 · 20-day return +0.57%no price found—
2026-09-29GBTGGlobal Business Travel Group, Inc. Class Avolatility +1.89% · RSI 62.5 · 20-day return +0.21%no price found—
2026-09-28GBTGGlobal Business Travel Group, Inc. Class Avolatility +1.89% · RSI 62.5 · 20-day return +0.42%+0.00%+0.36%
2026-09-25DBRGDigitalBridge Group, Inc.volatility +2.86% · RSI 51.5 · 20-day return +0.06%+0.00%-0.33%
2026-09-24DBRGDigitalBridge Group, Inc.volatility +2.86% · RSI 60.5 · 20-day return +0.06%+0.00%-0.41%
2026-09-23TECHBio-Technevolatility +4.01% · RSI 56.4 · 20-day return +0.32%+0.06%+0.70%
2026-09-22TECHBio-Technevolatility +4.01% · RSI 56.4 · 20-day return +0.32%+0.08%+0.17%
2026-09-21ATAIAtaiBeckley Inc.volatility +8.76% · RSI 47.1 · 20-day return +1.38%no price found—
2026-09-18RAMPLiveRamp Holdings, Inc.volatility +5.22% · RSI 59.2 · 20-day return +0.48%-0.50%-0.55%
2026-09-17RAMPLiveRamp Holdings, Inc.volatility +5.22% · RSI 64.0 · 20-day return +1.18%+0.00%+0.07%
2026-09-16PAYOPayoneer Global Inc.volatility +5.71% · RSI 54.2 · 20-day return +0.00%+0.56%+1.28%
2026-09-15AESAES Corporationvolatility +3.11% · RSI 60 · 20-day return +0.48%-0.20%+0.16%
2026-09-14AESAES Corporationvolatility +3.15% · RSI 53.9 · 20-day return +0.41%+0.00%-0.25%
2026-09-11GBTGGlobal Business Travel Group, Inc. Class Avolatility +2.21% · RSI 57.1 · 20-day return +0.42%-0.32%-0.26%
2026-09-10GBTGGlobal Business Travel Group, Inc. Class Avolatility +2.21% · RSI 60 · 20-day return +0.42%+0.00%+0.03%
2026-09-09GBTGGlobal Business Travel Group, Inc. Class Avolatility +2.21% · RSI 60 · 20-day return +0.32%+0.11%+0.33%
2026-09-08GBTGGlobal Business Travel Group, Inc. Class Avolatility +2.24% · RSI 62.5 · 20-day return +0.21%-0.84%-0.43%

Best session +0.84%, worst -0.84%. Over this few sessions the mean is mostly the sum of its two or three largest days, which is the whole reason the verdict is read only after 60, 120, 250, 500 sessions and frozen in between.

This is not investment advice. Tickbird is an automated experiment. It publishes a general analysis, not a personal recommendation, and it makes no promise about any outcome. Past results do not predict future ones. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.